MATCHUP DETAIL · SCREENSHOT SNAPSHOT

Bills at Jets

Statistical lean: Bills · Moderate

Game outlook

Projected score

BUF19projected points

PROJECTED OUTCOMENYJ to winNYJ -3 · 41 total

NYJ22projected points

Player outlooks · this matchup

High-confidence picks

4–5 star model confidence, not a success probability.

Player picks appear with the published projections.

The four matchups

Where the units meet.

Blue: offense · Gold: defense. Rank #1 is strongest.

Passing

BUF offense vs NYJ defense

Slight defense

League rank

BUF OFF

#24

NYJ DEF

Yards per game

BUF gained181.6 yd

NYJ allowed136.6 yd

Shared passing scale: 0–250 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -23

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

BUF offense vs NYJ defense

Neutral

League rank

BUF OFF

#14

NYJ DEF

#14

Yards per game

BUF gained118.2 yd

NYJ allowed119.2 yd

Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance 0

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Passing

NYJ offense vs BUF defense

Neutral

League rank

NYJ OFF

#19

BUF DEF

#14

Yards per game

NYJ gained206.2 yd

BUF allowed198.4 yd

Shared passing scale: 0–250 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -6

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

NYJ offense vs BUF defense

Slight defense

League rank

NYJ OFF

#32

BUF DEF

#26

Yards per game

NYJ gained80.4 yd

BUF allowed144.0 yd

Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -32

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Full ranks & yardage table

Team matchup profile

Complete rank and yardage overview

Passing and rushing performance shown side by side for a complete view of the matchup.

Bills awayvsJets home

Passing profile

MetricBUFNYJ

Pass defense rank#14#2

Pass offense rank#24#19

Avg. pass yards allowed198.4136.6

Avg. pass yards181.6206.2

Rushing profile

MetricBUFNYJ

Rush defense rank#26#14

Rush offense rank#14#32

Avg. rush yards allowed144.0119.2

Avg. rush yards118.280.4

Matchup factors

Team-volume baselinePass/rush production is blended 50/50 with the opposing defense's yards allowed.

Matchup separationJets's combined pass/rush matchup score is -15 versus Bills; it sets the projected score gap.

Scoring profileAdvanced offense/defense workbook is not available for both teams, so this remains chart-led.

Team styleNo completed current-season team-style sample yet; the outlook remains chart-led.

Home fieldJets receives a +1.25 point home-field adjustment.

WeatherNo saved venue forecast yet; no weather adjustment is included.

Player impactNo Key or Elite line/defensive players are tagged yet, so there is no individual-player adjustment.

AvailabilityNo unavailable players in the tracked QB/RB/WR/TE depth chart. Questionable players remain included.