FIRST & GOAL LABS · PLAYER ANALYSIS

Projections, with the why beside the number.

See the published model's expected player production, expected range, and the football context behind every estimate—without sportsbook lines or bet placement.

Player Projections

Priority review

High-confidence projections

Highest data-confidence estimates first. They are analytical signals, not guarantees.

4 entries

Passing yards

Houston QB

HOU vs NE
255.8 projection
Expected range 231–281Opponent rank #25★★★★★

HOU pass offense #1 vs NE pass defense #25

Rushing yards

Baltimore RB

BAL vs WAS
82.1 projection
Expected range 61–104Opponent rank #22★★★★★

BAL rush offense #1 vs WAS rush defense #22

Receiving yards

San Francisco WR

SF vs SEA
77.4 projection
Expected range 58–96Opponent rank #7★★★★☆

SF pass offense #4 vs SEA pass defense #7

Rushing yards

Detroit RB

DET vs DAL
75.6 projection
Expected range 55–96Opponent rank #4★★★★☆

DET rush offense #2 vs DAL rush defense #4

Full board

All player projections

8 entries shown
Position
PlayerExpected rangeDepthRole shareTeam baselineOpp. rankAvailabilityAnalysis
Houston QBQB · HOU vs NE255.8Passing yards231–281model range#194%255.8volume before share#25Active
Why

HOU pass offense #1 vs NE pass defense #25

  • HOU: 272.4 pass YPG
  • NE allows: 239.0 pass YPG
  • Validate QB availability before use
Jacksonville QBQB · JAX vs CHI217.2Passing yards194–240model range#194%231.1volume before share#6Active
Why

JAX pass offense #20 vs CHI pass defense #6

  • JAX: 201.6 pass YPG
  • CHI allows: 174.0 pass YPG
  • Model estimate reflects difficult matchup
Baltimore RBRB · BAL vs WAS82.1Rushing yards61–104model range#155%149.3volume before share#22Active
Why

BAL rush offense #1 vs WAS rush defense #22

  • BAL: 211.2 rush YPG
  • WAS allows: 130.0 rush YPG
  • Confirm expected workload
San Francisco WRWR · SF vs SEA77.4Receiving yards58–96model range#123%243.2volume before share#7Active
Why

SF pass offense #4 vs SEA pass defense #7

  • SF: 263.4 pass YPG
  • SEA allows: 183.0 pass YPG
  • Review target share and injury report
Detroit RBRB · DET vs DAL75.6Rushing yards55–96model range#155%137.6volume before share#4Active
Why

DET rush offense #2 vs DAL rush defense #4

  • DET: 151.3 rush YPG
  • DAL allows: 135.0 rush YPG
  • Strong unit, but matchup is not one-sided
Arizona TETE · ARI vs GB48.1Receiving yards31–65model range#115%201.6volume before share#23Active
Why

ARI pass offense #24 vs GB pass defense #23

  • Balanced ranking signal
  • Needs route and target inputs
  • Low confidence until roster feed is connected
Chicago WRWR · CHI vs JAX6.3Receptions4–8model range#123%—volume before share#32Active
Why

CHI faces JAX pass defense #32

  • JAX allows: 287.8 pass YPG
  • Projection needs target share
  • Check weather and active status
Buffalo RBRB · BUF vs NYJ0.58Anytime touchdown0.31–0.84model range#1——volume before share#26Active
Why

BUF rush offense #19 vs NYJ rush defense #26

  • Usage and red-zone share required
  • Expected score is a model estimate
  • Demo only