FIRST & GOAL LABS · PLAYER ANALYSIS

The player. The role. The estimate.

Scan production and confidence. Open “Why” for the details.

Player Projections

Position

Priority review

High-confidence projections

Model confidence · not a success probability.

4 entries

Rushing yards

Baltimore RB

BAL vs WAS
82.1 estimate
Opponent rank #22★★★★★
Why this estimate

BAL rush offense #1 vs WAS rush defense #22

Passing yards

Houston QB

HOU vs NE
255.8 estimate
Opponent rank #25★★★★★
Why this estimate

HOU pass offense #1 vs NE pass defense #25

Rushing yards

Detroit RB

DET vs DAL
75.6 estimate
Opponent rank #4★★★★☆
Why this estimate

DET rush offense #2 vs DAL rush defense #4

Receiving yards

San Francisco WR

SF vs SEA
77.4 estimate
Opponent rank #7★★★★☆
Why this estimate

SF pass offense #4 vs SEA pass defense #7

Full board

All player projections

8 of 8 estimates
Details
Baltimore RBRB · BAL vs WAS82.1Rushing yards#1 depth55% role share#22defense rank★★★★★
Why

BAL rush offense #1 vs WAS rush defense #22

Active · Team volume: 149.3 · Role share: 55%

  • BAL: 211.2 rush YPG
  • WAS allows: 130.0 rush YPG
  • Expected workload
Houston QBQB · HOU vs NE255.8Passing yards#1 depth94% role share#25defense rank★★★★★
Why

HOU pass offense #1 vs NE pass defense #25

Active · Team volume: 255.8 · Role share: 94%

  • HOU: 272.4 pass YPG
  • NE allows: 239.0 pass YPG
  • QB availability
Detroit RBRB · DET vs DAL75.6Rushing yards#1 depth55% role share#4defense rank★★★★☆
Why

DET rush offense #2 vs DAL rush defense #4

Active · Team volume: 137.6 · Role share: 55%

  • DET: 151.3 rush YPG
  • DAL allows: 135.0 rush YPG
  • Strong unit, but matchup is not one-sided
San Francisco WRWR · SF vs SEA77.4Receiving yards#1 depth23% role share#7defense rank★★★★☆
Why

SF pass offense #4 vs SEA pass defense #7

Active · Team volume: 243.2 · Role share: 23%

  • SF: 263.4 pass YPG
  • SEA allows: 183.0 pass YPG
  • Target share · injury status
Chicago WRWR · CHI vs JAX6.3Receptions#1 depth23% role share#32defense rank★★★☆☆
Why

CHI faces JAX pass defense #32

Active · Team volume: — · Role share: 23%

  • JAX allows: 287.8 pass YPG
  • Target-share context
  • Weather · active status
Jacksonville QBQB · JAX vs CHI217.2Passing yards#1 depth94% role share#6defense rank★★★☆☆
Why

JAX pass offense #20 vs CHI pass defense #6

Active · Team volume: 231.1 · Role share: 94%

  • JAX: 201.6 pass YPG
  • CHI allows: 174.0 pass YPG
  • Difficult matchup lowers expected output
Arizona TETE · ARI vs GB48.1Receiving yards#1 depth15% role share#23defense rank★★☆☆☆
Why

ARI pass offense #24 vs GB pass defense #23

Active · Team volume: 201.6 · Role share: 15%

  • Balanced ranking signal
  • Route and target opportunity
  • Limited supporting context
Buffalo RBRB · BUF vs NYJ58%Anytime touchdown
Estimated TD chance
#1 depth— role share#26defense rank★★☆☆☆
Why

BUF rush offense #19 vs NYJ rush defense #26

Active · Team volume: — · Role share: —

  • Usage and red-zone role
  • Touchdown opportunity estimate
  • Limited supporting context
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