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MATCHUP DETAIL · SCREENSHOT SNAPSHOT

Lions at Cowboys

Statistical lean: Lions · Clear

Game outlook

Projected score

DET25projected points
PROJECTED OUTCOMEDET to winDAL +2 · 48 total
DAL23projected points

Player outlooks · this matchup

High-confidence picks

4–5 star model confidence, not a success probability.

Player picks appear with the published projections.

The four matchups

Where the units meet.

Blue: offense · Gold: defense. Rank #1 is strongest.

Passing

DET offense vs DAL defense

Slight offense

League rank

Yards per game

Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defense
Matchup balance +17
−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

DET offense vs DAL defense

Slight offense

League rank

Yards per game

Shared rushing scale: 0–200 yd · lower allowed favors defense
Matchup balance +34
−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Passing

DAL offense vs DET defense

Strong offense

League rank

Yards per game

Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defense
Matchup balance +43
−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

DAL offense vs DET defense

Strong defense

League rank

Yards per game

Shared rushing scale: 0–200 yd · lower allowed favors defense
Matchup balance -48
−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Full ranks & yardage table

Team matchup profile

Complete rank and yardage overview

Passing and rushing performance shown side by side for a complete view of the matchup.

Lions awayvsCowboys home

Passing profile

MetricDETDAL
Pass defense rank#27#11
Pass offense rank#7#2
Avg. pass yards allowed258.3194.4
Avg. pass yards245.8271.6

Rushing profile

MetricDETDAL
Rush defense rank#4#24
Rush offense rank#6#31
Avg. rush yards allowed90.8135.0
Avg. rush yards151.382.0
Matchup factors
Team-volume baselinePass/rush production is blended 50/50 with the opposing defense's yards allowed.
Matchup separationCowboys's combined pass/rush matchup score is -56 versus Lions; it sets the projected score gap.
Scoring profileAdvanced offense/defense workbook is not available for both teams, so this remains chart-led.
Team styleNo completed current-season team-style sample yet; the outlook remains chart-led.
Home fieldCowboys receives a +1.25 point home-field adjustment.
WeatherNo saved venue forecast yet; no weather adjustment is included.
Player impactNo Key or Elite line/defensive players are tagged yet, so there is no individual-player adjustment.
AvailabilityNo unavailable players in the tracked QB/RB/WR/TE depth chart. Questionable players remain included.
First & Goal Labs