MATCHUP DETAIL · SCREENSHOT SNAPSHOT

Texans at Patriots

Statistical lean: Texans · Clear

Game outlook

Projected score

HOU25projected points

PROJECTED OUTCOMEHOU to winNE +7 · 43 total

NE18projected points

Player outlooks · this matchup

High-confidence picks

4–5 star model confidence, not a success probability.

Player picks appear with the published projections.

The four matchups

Where the units meet.

Blue: offense · Gold: defense. Rank #1 is strongest.

Passing

HOU offense vs NE defense

Strong offense

League rank

HOU OFF

NE DEF

#25

Yards per game

HOU gained272.4 yd

NE allowed239.0 yd

Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance +45

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

HOU offense vs NE defense

Slight defense

League rank

HOU OFF

#23

NE DEF

#13

Yards per game

HOU gained104.2 yd

NE allowed118.0 yd

Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -22

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Passing

NE offense vs HOU defense

Strong defense

League rank

NE OFF

#32

HOU DEF

Yards per game

NE gained119.4 yd

HOU allowed154.0 yd

Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -58

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

NE offense vs HOU defense

Slight offense

League rank

NE OFF

HOU DEF

#17

Yards per game

NE gained131.4 yd

HOU allowed120.2 yd

Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance +19

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Full ranks & yardage table

Team matchup profile

Complete rank and yardage overview

Passing and rushing performance shown side by side for a complete view of the matchup.

Texans awayvsPatriots home

Passing profile

MetricHOUNE

Pass defense rank#3#25

Pass offense rank#1#32

Avg. pass yards allowed154.0239.0

Avg. pass yards272.4119.4

Rushing profile

MetricHOUNE

Rush defense rank#17#13

Rush offense rank#23#8

Avg. rush yards allowed120.2118.0

Avg. rush yards104.2131.4

Matchup factors

Team-volume baselinePass/rush production is blended 50/50 with the opposing defense's yards allowed.

Matchup separationPatriots's combined pass/rush matchup score is -62 versus Texans; it sets the projected score gap.

Scoring profileAdvanced offense/defense workbook is not available for both teams, so this remains chart-led.

Team styleNo completed current-season team-style sample yet; the outlook remains chart-led.

Home fieldPatriots receives a +1.25 point home-field adjustment.

WeatherNo saved venue forecast yet; no weather adjustment is included.

Player impactNo Key or Elite line/defensive players are tagged yet, so there is no individual-player adjustment.

AvailabilityNo unavailable players in the tracked QB/RB/WR/TE depth chart. Questionable players remain included.