MATCHUP DETAIL · SCREENSHOT SNAPSHOT

Jaguars at Bears

Statistical lean: Jaguars · Clear

Game outlook

Projected score

JAX22projected points

PROJECTED OUTCOMECHI to winCHI -1 · 45 total

CHI23projected points

Player outlooks · this matchup

High-confidence picks

4–5 star model confidence, not a success probability.

Player picks appear with the published projections.

The four matchups

Where the units meet.

Blue: offense · Gold: defense. Rank #1 is strongest.

Passing

JAX offense vs CHI defense

Slight defense

League rank

JAX OFF

#20

CHI DEF

Yards per game

JAX gained201.6 yd

CHI allowed174.0 yd

Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -16

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

JAX offense vs CHI defense

Slight offense

League rank

JAX OFF

#11

CHI DEF

#18

Yards per game

JAX gained126.2 yd

CHI allowed120.8 yd

Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance +13

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Passing

CHI offense vs JAX defense

Neutral

League rank

CHI OFF

#22

JAX DEF

#32

Yards per game

CHI gained191.8 yd

JAX allowed287.8 yd

Shared passing scale: 0–300 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -1

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Rushing

CHI offense vs JAX defense

Strong defense

League rank

CHI OFF

#29

JAX DEF

Yards per game

CHI gained95.4 yd

JAX allowed105.6 yd

Shared rushing scale: 0–150 yd · lower allowed favors defense

Matchup balance -39

−100 Defense0Offense +100

Combines rank and yardage differences. This is a matchup score, not projected points or a win probability.

Full ranks & yardage table

Team matchup profile

Complete rank and yardage overview

Passing and rushing performance shown side by side for a complete view of the matchup.

Jaguars awayvsBears home

Passing profile

MetricJAXCHI

Pass defense rank#32#6

Pass offense rank#20#22

Avg. pass yards allowed287.8174.0

Avg. pass yards201.6191.8

Rushing profile

MetricJAXCHI

Rush defense rank#8#18

Rush offense rank#11#29

Avg. rush yards allowed105.6120.8

Avg. rush yards126.295.4

Matchup factors

Team-volume baselinePass/rush production is blended 50/50 with the opposing defense's yards allowed.

Matchup separationBears's combined pass/rush matchup score is -37 versus Jaguars; it sets the projected score gap.

Scoring profileAdvanced offense/defense workbook is not available for both teams, so this remains chart-led.

Team styleNo completed current-season team-style sample yet; the outlook remains chart-led.

Home fieldBears receives a +1.25 point home-field adjustment.

WeatherNo saved venue forecast yet; no weather adjustment is included.

Player impactNo Key or Elite line/defensive players are tagged yet, so there is no individual-player adjustment.

AvailabilityNo unavailable players in the tracked QB/RB/WR/TE depth chart. Questionable players remain included.